Well all I can say is the Radeon 6000 kexts are changing. Different sha256 sums on the binary file inside the Radeon6000Framebuffer kext, for example, from beta 5 to 6, so some work is being done.
Unfortunately I don't believe this means anything. Every release bumps the version number of every kext, and I think that is the checksum difference you are seeing.
Also I really wouldn't expect to see any incremental changes until the actual release. Apple may be working on the drivers internally but they're not going to release that work until it's all done. They won't push out half-finished versions in each new beta - that'd be really bad practice. They'll wait until they're ready and then push out all the changes at once. Then subsequent betas would contain any bugfixes/changes to that work.
The one change that has happened and that we've not discussed recently is the removal of the 6000-series framebuffers in 11.3 beta 1. That's another thing that could be taken as an ill omen. Why would they remove those now - removing the ability to get a GUI picture on a 6000-series - if they plan to add full support later? Why not do both operations at the same time?
One possible optimistic explanation for that removal is that the framebuffer defs in X6000 were just temporary, and that the drivers are coming a new kext, eg X7000. So removing those framebuffer defs was a cleanup necessary on the way to full drivers, and they happened to choose to do the cleanup first, before the drivers came. Or perhaps that's even evidence that drivers were meant to come in 11.3 beta (like the Octane Dev thought), but perhaps got delayed. So they cleaned up the framebuffers in X6000 expecting that to coincide with a new X7000 for Big Navi 2, but then X7000 was pushed to 11.4, and they didn't care (or forgot) about also pushing the cleanup to X6000.
I always expected that drivers, if they came, would be in a new kext; it'd be quite odd to add Big Navi 2 support to X6000, which is for Big Navi 1, and doing so wouldn't match their past practice. So that's all plausible. But that again would mean that any patches made to X6000 in the meantime - even if they were more than just version number bumps - are not related to whether we do or don't get 6000-series drivers.
TLDR: I don't think those checksum changes to the AMD kexts tell us anything
Speaking as someone who is on the redshift forums a bunch, I trust this intel. They are very aware of the situation, they are not misinformed about it already being out. They said they have not tried it or have no experience using it so cant say about the performance. However Redshift Devs had to work closely with apple to get a Metal version out just this last year. My sense is that apple threw a bunch of money at the problem after hearing so many Pros in this field complain about the Nvidia situation. Redshift devs are very responsive, trustworthy and I would guess they have good source intel. Of course this is all just my speculation.
OK well of course I hope you're right. I do still have some concerns about it. The wording "we've not tested it" implies either what I said before - that they think it's out already when it's not - or else, if you're right, that they know for sure they
could test it, meaning they must have a private beta build (perhaps of 11.4?). However would they then be able to talk so openly about it? Wouldn't that breach an NDA? I guess it's possible Apple gave them permission to do so?
Oh well, as you say it's all pointless speculation. Something to do before going back to the waiting!
