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For me 11.4 beta 1 is the tipping point. If it doesn't come then, I'm going to start to lose hope.Where do you guys place the odds of any 6xxx support?
I honestly am getting more and more pessimistic about it.
I think they might skip right to all Apple Silicon, even for GPU
There's definitely some reasons to be hopeful for 11.4 - albeit with the caveat that we've been here before many times. The 6700s are out; the Linux and Windows drivers have had time to mature; they've had plenty of time to work on 11.4 given 11.3 has now had 6 betas and therefore presumably won't launch for at least another two weeks (including one or two RCs).
Then there's the 'leaks'. Octane developer says he was told it was coming (or was already there) in 11.3 beta 3. It wasn't. Did he misunderstand what he was told? I don't think so; he seemed certain. Did the Apple contact misunderstand the question or just get it completely wrong? Possible, but seems unlikely - though of course we have no idea what the position of that contact was, like whether they're a tech/dev contact or not. Or did the Apple contact really think it was coming, and then maybe it just slipped? In that scenario, which is at least plausible, that would make 11.4 the obvious candidate.
I don't know what to make of the Redshift comments. At first glance it seems great, but phrases like "as is common knowledge" makes me fear that they're just referring to the publicity generated by the Octane dev's comments, and don't have any first-hand, specific knowledge or proof that it's coming. It's possible they're simply reacting to the same hearsay we've all heard, and haven't realised that drivers have not in fact been released in any 11.3 beta to-date. I'd love to hear about any follow-up comments that might clarify that.
I do think it's looking pretty unlikely that there will ever be an Apple 6000-series GPU, and therefore the only reason from Apple's perspective to release them would be for eGPU support, and for third-party Mac Pro 2019 upgrades. They do sell an eGPU enclosure, so it's a technology they promote at least to some extent. Then again, the fact that it encourages third-party upgrades could also be seen as a reason for them not to add support, and the fact that Silicon Macs don't currently support eGPUs could be evidence that it's not a technology they plan to support for long.
So yes, like you, I am tending more pessimistic now. I've not yet given up hope, but I do think it could go either way.
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